National Hurricane Center tracks Invest 99-L in Caribbean
Updated: November 13, 2024 1:39 PM CST
all day long. So we send a team of meteorologists to your home to cover these storms for you. Let's go to Devon Lucy first here. Please let me know what will happen in the next few hours, especially around the time of picking up the children. If you have to pick up your kids this afternoon, it can be a really dangerous situation here in New Orleans. Because the main line of the storm will be right behind me. That will move forward. And it may rain for a while. That's the number one question. What do we have to do for the next three hours? Now let's go to Doppler radar. And let me show you some information for us. Let's take this off here so we can get started right away. And behind me, the radar is on full screen, and you can see that there's a leading edge storm between Lutcher and Laplace. That would be the biggest concern. Right now. There was a tornado warning for that storm, but again, the rotation will drop significantly and it will be a nuisance. So we're heading north. I'll put a storm truck on it. Really quickly. Approximately 20 miles per hour. So we have several small communities within here, via St. John the Baptist Parish. Edgard is number 1231. For reservations, call number 1235. Ruddock is number 115. What about the area to the south that Randy and I just talked about? This is the main concern. The good news here is that we don't see the typical signs of an individualized storm trying to spin around in a lightning strike here, a lightning strike here. But still, when you move it, it's moving northward at about 20 miles per hour in that clip. You can see that there is also some movement towards the northeast. But the speed of where that storm is going, if it's going here, north of Lafayette, here at 20 miles an hour, you can see it moving west. Bank transfer here to 112, 115 to Gretna, 116 to Terrytown. Extend it north. The tip of that rain then crosses the river, reaches the east bank, and enters the city. And I'm also seeing Metairie Mid-City a little later than that, around 130 o'clock. If only the timeout could be extended a little earlier here as well. So that's the leading edge of that storm. And once the storm starts, it's going to rain here for a while, and according to Doppler radar, the amount could easily be 1 to 2 inches per hour. Here, on saturated ground, our threat begins. A cutting edge storm begins to stir things up. The first type of tornado warning was issued due to changes in tropical humidity in the atmosphere. It's there and it's starting to disappear. What is starting to happen now is the threat of heavier rain. Travel from Grand Isle, Golden Meadow Cutoff to Lafitte, and on to New Orleans. Look at numbers 1 to 115 on the West Bank here. We go to the east bank and look at about 115 to 130. When it starts raining, it may stay rainy for a while. Let's go to the North Shore. It's raining pretty heavily in Poplarville, but there's no warning. These are moving north and northeast. Despite the heavy rain, the Kenwood-Hammond-Ponchatoula game here at Franklinton-Covington in Mandeville is quiet. Madisonville. Will there be a storm in the future? You may not get everything. This main cluster may see you briefly around the northeast, or it may miss you. But with that being said, I want to get a full rundown on that forecast right here with meteorologist Derek Sibley right here. That's the latest radar here right now. Now I'd like to make a little prediction as we look at what to expect from the rest of the setup from here. And we're going to spend the next few days here, Derek. Okay. thank you. That's it. Devin. I'm going to ask the control room if I can switch to MAX 2 here. That way, we can keep you up to date with the weather forecast for the entire region right here. And the reason we're in this situation is because we're looking at a pretty strong trough of low pressure to the west. You can see a big cold front there. And that will continue to happen. In fact, we're currently seeing southeasterly winds in the front of that storm system at 10 to 15 mph. It's also contributing to the pumping of warm, moist air masses, and there's also a coastal flooding advisory for some of us here. The storm's impact for the remainder of the day will be fairly moderate in terms of winds, tornadoes, and the chance of heavy rain. flood. Large hail. But today, it looks pretty low, but there's a serious weather threat here, a serious weather risk. A slight Level 2 risk, primarily for the North Shore. There is a Level 1 Marginal Risk for the South Shore and today's flash flood risk is also between Marginal Risk and Slight Risk. Rain and thunderstorms this afternoon. North Shore 5 o'clock today is really under the gun. That's why they're a Level 2 threat. And that will be resolved for tonight. We then see mostly sunny skies heading into Thursday. Tomorrow and Friday will be covered in clouds in places. And of course, we're keeping a close eye on what's happening with Invest 90. Currently there is a 90% chance of development in the next 7 days. WDSU's first warning 7-day forecast looks like a mook
National Hurricane Center tracks Invest 99-L in Caribbean
Updated: November 13, 2024 1:39 PM CST
The National Hurricane Center is tracking Invest 99-L, which is expected to become Tropical Storm Sarah later this week. It is moving west at 5 mph with winds of 25 mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) stressed that there is a 90% chance of tropical development in the western Caribbean over the next three to seven days. This is the only area where any forecast has been made. The rest of the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico are quiet. Forecast data shows an active pattern of storms moving down through a cold front over the continental United States over two to three days. If a tropical system were to form in the Caribbean, these fronts would likely trap it in a basin and move eastward and further away from us. By next week, the system could move through the Yucatan Peninsula or the South Pacific. Yucatan Strait, but the prevailing currents are more likely to direct it toward Florida. Although we do not expect this possible system to move into the Gulf of Mexico, we will still keep it updated as new information comes in.
The National Hurricane Center is tracking Invest 99-L, which is expected to become Tropical Storm Sarah later this week. It is moving west with winds of 25 mph and 5 mph.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) stressed that there is a 90% chance of tropical development in the western Caribbean region over the next three to seven days.
This is the only area where any forecast has been made. The rest of the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico are quiet.
Forecast data shows an active pattern of storms moving over the continental United States as a cold front passes over the next two to three days.
If a tropical system were to form in the Caribbean, these fronts would likely trap the tropics in a basin and push them eastward and further away from us.
By next week, high pressure could move over the Yucatan Peninsula or Yucatan Strait, but the prevailing flow will likely push it toward Florida.
We do not expect this possible system to move into the Gulf of Mexico, but we will keep you updated as new information becomes available.
